Assessing the Future Water Diplomacy Challenges in the Jordan Basin and the Nile Basin in 2030 A Comparative Analysis of Geopolitical Factors and Approaches.
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| Format: | Thesis |
| Kulcsszavak: | diplomácia diplomáciai szervezetek nemzetközi béke és biztonság nemzetközi biztosítás nemzetközi politika |
| Online Access: | http://dolgozattar.uni-bge.hu/53772 |
| Abstract: | BRIAN H. NEIRA FAJARDO Supervisor: Active semester 1 Dr. Szilágyi Judit Beáta International Relations MA assistant professor BGE KKK BGE KKK ASSESSING THE FUTURE WATER DIPLOMACY CHALLENGES IN THE JORDAN BASIN AND THE NILE BASIN IN 2030: A COMPARATIVE ANALYSIS OF GEOPOLITICAL FACTORS AND APPROACHES This research paper explores the intricate landscape of water diplomacy challenges in the Nile Basin and Jordan Basin in 2030, emphasizing the geopolitical factors shaping dynamics. The study poses three key questions. The first delves into the geopolitical factors influencing water diplomacy challenges. In the Jordan River Basin, disputes, historical agreements, conflicts, and environmental pressures create complexity, while the Nile Basin's agreements, infrastructure, alliances, and climate change complicate negotiations. The second explores primary approaches and strategies. In the Nile Basin, negotiation, framework agreements, studies, and confidence-building are pivotal. In contrast, the Jordan Basin focuses on diplomacy, hydro-diplomacy, infrastructure, and conservation. The third probes projections' impact on cooperation or conflict and the role of international actors as projections show water stress due to growth and climate change, with projects like GERD emphasizing cooperation. International actors play a pivotal role as neutral mediators, providing expertise and supporting sustainable projects. Research employs qualitative case studies, comparative analysis, policy and document analysis, historical analysis, and literature review. Finally, results indicate that geopolitical factors will have a greater influence on water diplomacy challenges in the Nile Basin in 2030 than in the Jordan Basin, owing to historical complexities, cooperative and inclusive approaches will be more effective and sustainable in addressing future water challenges in both basins and projected water availability and demand imbalances in the Nile Basin will lead to a higher risk of conflicts and competition among riparian states in 2030. |
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